Whether the Weather Be Cold..

Last weekend was really warm down here in San Jose, if you all remember. The temperature was in the 90's and everyone was either at the pool or heading to the beach. I myself enjoy both of those activities last weekend to take advantage of the warm weather. When Monday was coming up, I had expected that the weather then would be warm as well. When friends asked me what the weather will be like Monday, I would reply with, "Warm of course!" Little did I know, I had filled not only my mind, but my friends’ minds, with incorrect information and misled them into thinking the Monday was going to be just like the weekend. I had made the observation from previous days and concluded that Monday will be like the days before. This kind of weather forecasting is named Persistence, where we believe tomorrow will be like today. I discovered that my observation was misleading when I walked outside the next day to significantly colder weather compared to the weekends. I was prepared for hot weather and dressed accordingly. Scientific knowledge taught me that my observations were not a strong enough argument for my conclusion. My hypothesis was incorrectly formed from a wrong analysis, leading to a false conclusion. Next time, I will form a better hypothesis by using correct experimentation SO I won't be wearing shorts in the cold wind.